Using ASCAT Wind and Other Data in Marine Forecasting

4.0 Forecast Future Conditions at a Projected Point » 4.7 Predicted Position of Cold Front

It is 06 UTC on 23 November and we are at the final stage of the forecast process. We will use all of the data to make a 24-hour forecast of the following:

  • The position of the cold front at 06 UTC on 24 November
  • The predicted sea and atmospheric conditions at the Polarstern’s projected position at 06 UTC on 24 November

Since the GFS model has been performing well enough to be used for the short-term forecast, now we’ll use its guidance to make the prediction. We’ll give you the position of the Polarstern for the second part of the activity.

Move the slider to view the two plots. They indicate the GFS’ predicted position of the cold front as derived from the 10-m wind and MSLP fields.

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